Lecture 10 · Wed, 21 Oct 2026

Ensemble methods

Decision trees, bagging, and random forests

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Ensemble Methods

Single decision trees are transparent but overfit easily. This lecture shows how combining many trees into an ensemble dramatically improves performance. We cover decision tree basics (splits, impurity, pruning), then bagging (bootstrap aggregating) and random forests (bagging + random feature selection). Key topics include feature importance, out-of-bag error, and the key hyperparameters to tune.

MST0052 Predictive Modelling with Machine Learning · Fall 2026 · BI Norwegian Business School